High Risk: The expiration of the New START treaty and ongoing tensions involving nuclear capabilities in Iran and Russia contribute to an elevated global nuclear threat level.
The expiration of the New START treaty marks a significant deterioration in arms control between the US and Russia, potentially leading to an unchecked arms race. Concurrently, tensions surrounding Iran's nuclear ambitions and the potential for regional proliferation, as highlighted by Turkey's concerns, further exacerbate global instability. These developments occur in a strategic environment already strained by modernization of arsenals and reduced diplomatic channels, increasing the risk of miscalculation or escalation.
[International Body] Urgently facilitate negotiations for a new arms control agreement to replace New START.
[Government] Enhance diplomatic efforts to address and verify Iran's nuclear activities, ensuring compliance with international norms.
[Military] Strengthen crisis communication channels between nuclear-armed states to prevent accidental escalation.
[NGO] Advocate for increased public awareness and policy action on nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation.
[Citizen] Support initiatives and organizations working towards nuclear risk reduction and arms control advocacy.