Nuclear War
4.5 / 5
High Risk
The global nuclear threat is heightened due to deteriorating arms control agreements, modernization of arsenals, and the potential for AI to influence nuclear decision-making.
Artificial Intelligence
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
The release of GPT-5 and its integration into various sectors, including government and education, highlights both the potential and risks of AI, particularly in terms of alignment and security challenges.
Climate Change
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The current climate threat level is high due to increasing extreme weather events, exacerbated wildfire seasons, and significant ecosystem disruptions driven by climate change.
Pandemics
3.7 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's pandemic risk is moderate, with rising COVID-19 cases, ongoing avian flu and MERS outbreaks, and vaccine hesitancy posing significant challenges.
Information Integrity
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Today's misinformation risk is high due to widespread disinformation across political, health, and consumer sectors, exacerbated by the proliferation of fake digital content.
Unknown / Black Swan
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Netanyahu's recent attack on Iran to counter an 'existential threat' could escalate into a broader geopolitical conflict with unpredictable consequences.