Unknown / Black Swan

The potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), as highlighted by Iceland's recent security risk assessment, represents a major Black Swan event due to its capacity to drastically alter global climate patterns. Such a collapse could lead to severe weather changes, impacting agriculture, sea levels, and global economies in ways that are difficult to predict and mitigate. This development is particularly concerning because it involves complex oceanic systems that are not fully understood and could trigger cascading effects across multiple domains, including geopolitical tensions over resources and climate-induced migration.