Unknown / Black Swan

The potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), as highlighted by Iceland, represents a significant Black Swan risk due to its potential to drastically alter global climate patterns. Such an event could lead to severe weather changes, impacting agriculture, sea levels, and ecosystems worldwide. This development is particularly alarming because it is difficult to predict and could have rapid, widespread consequences. The intersection of climate science and geopolitical stability further heightens the risk, as nations may struggle to adapt to sudden environmental shifts, leading to potential conflicts over resources and migration pressures.