Unknown / Black Swan

The potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), as highlighted by Iceland, represents a high-risk Black Swan event due to its potential to drastically alter global climate patterns, leading to severe weather changes, disruptions in agriculture, and geopolitical instability. This event is unpredictable and could have cascading effects across multiple domains, including food security, economic stability, and international relations. The lack of preparedness for such a large-scale environmental shift amplifies the risk, making it a critical concern that traditional forecasting models may not adequately address.