Unknown / Black Swan

The threat of space debris is becoming increasingly concerning as the volume of defunct satellites and other debris in Earth's orbit grows. This accumulation raises the probability of a catastrophic collision event, which could trigger a cascade of further collisions, known as the Kessler Syndrome. Such an event could severely disrupt global communications, navigation systems, and satellite operations, with far-reaching impacts on both civilian and military infrastructure. The inevitability of such an event, as suggested by experts, underscores the high risk it poses as a Black Swan event, given its potential to cause widespread disruption and its unpredictability.