Pandemics

Viewed record Moderate Risk
History 338 daily observations
Method Curated sources and AI scoring
Viewing December 18, 2025 Return to latest

Pandemics Risk

3.7 / 5
Moderate Risk -0.2 from previous reading

Assessment for this date

Rising cases of flu, RSV, measles, and avian flu, combined with vaccine hesitancy and misinformation, contribute to a moderate pandemic risk.

Record date

December 18, 2025

Trend

Viewing the record for December 18, 2025 within the full trend.

Risk Drivers

What is pushing the current reading.

The current landscape shows a concerning rise in respiratory illnesses such as flu and RSV in the US and Europe, alongside a significant measles outbreak in the US, which is exacerbated by vaccine hesitancy and misinformation. The resurgence of avian flu in multiple states and the first human case of H5N5 avian flu in Washington state indicate potential zoonotic threats. Although COVID-19 vaccine updates and other vaccines like Paxlovid show promise in reducing severe outcomes, the decline in vaccination rates for respiratory diseases poses a challenge. Misinformation about vaccine safety continues to undermine public trust, complicating efforts to manage these outbreaks effectively.

Risk Reduction Actions

Priority actions generated from the current analysis.

Government

Increase public health campaigns to counter misinformation and promote vaccination for flu, RSV, and measles.

Healthcare Providers

Enhance surveillance and reporting systems for early detection and response to outbreaks.

NGOs

Partner with communities to address vaccine hesitancy and improve vaccination coverage.

Researchers

Accelerate development and deployment of vaccines for emerging zoonotic diseases like avian flu.

International Organizations

Coordinate cross-border efforts to monitor and contain outbreaks, particularly in travel hubs.

Sources Monitored

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Selected Articles

Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.