Enhance surveillance and testing capabilities for emerging COVID-19 variants and other infectious diseases.
Pandemics
Pandemics Risk
Assessment for this date
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to rising cases of COVID-19 variants, avian flu, and MERS, compounded by challenges in vaccine trust and public health responsiveness.
June 26, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for June 26, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The emergence of new COVID-19 variants such as NB.1.8.1, alongside ongoing avian flu cases in various regions, highlights the persistent threat of infectious diseases. Additionally, the reactivation of cytomegalovirus in COVID-19 patients and the significant proportion of long COVID cases underscore the complexity of managing post-infection health outcomes. Vaccine hesitancy and misinformation, exacerbated by recent controversies in vaccine advisory committees, further complicate public health efforts. Meanwhile, the detection of MERS cases in Saudi Arabia and the potential for zoonotic spillover from avian flu in mammals increase the risk of new outbreaks. These factors, combined with gaps in surveillance and testing infrastructure, suggest a need for vigilance and proactive measures to mitigate potential pandemic threats.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Increase public awareness and education campaigns to counter vaccine misinformation and improve vaccine uptake.
Monitor and manage long COVID and post-infection complications to reduce long-term health impacts.
Strengthen global cooperation and resource sharing to address cross-border infectious disease threats.
Accelerate research on vaccines and treatments for emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- CDC estimates show jump in NB.1.8.1 COVID variant proportions
- RFK announces new ACIP members, including vaccine critics
- Cambodia logs fifth death from H5N1 avian flu as USDA weighs poultry vaccination
- Quick takes: Polio in 6 nations, tularemia cases in Nebraska, more H5N1 in US poultry
- Saudi Arabia confirms 9 MERS cases, including hospital cluster
- WHO notes 4 new MERS cases, 2 fatal, in Saudi Arabia since September