Climate Change

The climate threat level is elevated due to several factors: the transition from La Niña to neutral ENSO conditions and the potential for a strong El Niño event in 2026-27, which could exacerbate extreme weather patterns globally. Recent reports of severe tornado activity, droughts, and heatwaves in the U.S. highlight the immediate impacts of climate change, while the collapse of ecosystems and increased wildfire seasons indicate long-term risks. Additionally, policy challenges, such as the shielding of oil and gas companies from accountability, hinder effective climate action. These elements collectively underscore a high-risk scenario for both near-term and long-term climate impacts.