Enhance disaster preparedness and response plans to address increased tornado activity and other extreme weather events.
Climate Change
Climate Change Risk
Assessment for this date
Current climate conditions indicate a transition from La Niña to neutral ENSO conditions, with ongoing impacts on weather patterns and ecosystem stability.
September 16, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for September 16, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The transition from La Niña to neutral ENSO conditions suggests a shift in global weather patterns, which can lead to unpredictable climate impacts such as altered precipitation and temperature patterns. This transition affects agricultural productivity, water resources, and disaster preparedness, especially in regions heavily influenced by ENSO cycles. The active tornado season further highlights the immediate risks of severe weather events, which are exacerbated by climate variability. While models have been relatively accurate in predicting ENSO trends, the complexity of these systems means that unexpected impacts can still occur, posing risks to both human and natural systems.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Improve climate models to better predict the impacts of ENSO transitions on regional weather patterns.
Educate communities on the potential impacts of ENSO changes and how to mitigate associated risks.
Adapt supply chains and operations to account for potential disruptions due to changing weather patterns.
Stay informed about local weather forecasts and prepare for potential severe weather events.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Tornado season 2025: active through April, and May is keeping pace
- May 2025 ENSO update: eye of neutral
- April 2025 ENSO update: La Niña has ended
- Winner or bust? Did La Niña shape North American precipitation this winter as expected?
- We are absolutely confident that some expected La Niña impacts will bust this winter