Panthrisk

The world’s threat level. Measured daily.

Global Risk
3.7 / 5
Moderate Risk
-0.2 from yesterday
Top mover: Unknown / Black Swan
The perceived risk of Unknown/Black Swan events has significantly decreased, dropping from a moderate to a low risk level.
Nuclear War
4.3 / 5
High Risk
The nuclear threat level is elevated due to renewed discussions of nuclear weapons testing by the U.S. and potential reciprocal actions by Russia, amidst deteriorating communication channels and strategic tensions.
Artificial Intelligence
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is moderate due to advancements in AI capabilities and strategic partnerships, alongside emerging security challenges and ethical considerations.
Climate Change
3.2 / 5
Moderate Risk
Current climate risks are moderate due to active tornado seasons and the transition from La Niña to neutral ENSO conditions, which may influence weather patterns globally.
Pandemics
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Today's pandemic risk is high due to concurrent outbreaks of Marburg virus in Ethiopia, avian flu in multiple US states, and a significant botulism outbreak linked to infant formula.
Information Integrity
4.0 / 5
High Risk
Today's misinformation risk is high due to widespread falsehoods across political, social, and technological domains, exacerbated by AI-generated content and organized disinformation campaigns.
Unknown / Black Swan
2.5 / 5
Low Risk
New AI-driven models for climate prediction challenge traditional forecasting, potentially altering global climate response strategies.