Nuclear War
3.6 / 5
Moderate Risk
The global nuclear threat level is heightened by increased nuclear armament investments and strategic shifts, despite recent de-escalatory statements from the US regarding Iran.
Artificial Intelligence
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is moderate due to advancements in AI capabilities and their widespread deployment, raising concerns about alignment, misuse, and concentration of power.
Climate Change
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Current climate risks are high due to increased extreme weather events, policy setbacks, and ecosystem disruptions.
Pandemics
3.7 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing challenges with COVID-19 variants, long COVID impacts, and avian flu outbreaks, compounded by vaccine hesitancy and misinformation.
Information Integrity
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Today's misinformation risk is high due to widespread use of AI-generated content and deepfakes, which are increasingly sophisticated and pervasive.
Unknown / Black Swan
4.3 / 5
High Risk
The aluminum market faces a 'black swan' supply shock due to Middle East conflict, potentially disrupting global supply chains.